Bent Flyvbjerg – Medium

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How Big Things Get Done: The Surprising Factors That Determine the Fate of Every Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration and Everything in Between

How Big Things Get Done: The Surprising Factors That Determine the Fate of Every Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration and Everything in Between

“This book is important, timely, instructive and entertaining. What more could you ask for?” – Daniel Kahneman, winner of the Nobel Prize in economics

2023

Bent Flyvbjerg, et al.

Bent Flyvbjerg, Dan Gardner

Stories

Pinned

Bent Flyvbjerg
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Towards Data Science

Regression to the Tail Vs. Regression to the Mean*

A worse pandemic and more extreme climate will hit us. What are the basic principles for navigating this, for government, business, and the…

11 min readMay 28, 2021

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Regression to the Tail Vs. Regression to the Mean*

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Bent Flyvbjerg
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Geek Culture

SpaceX vs. NASA: Speed-to-Market

NASA is clearly slower to market and to iterate than SpaceX.

5 min readOct 20, 2022

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SpaceX vs. NASA: Speed-to-Market

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Bent Flyvbjerg

How to Kill with a Handshake: My Favorite Boris Johnson Story

Now that Boris Johnson is leaving office it’s time to think back and find our favorite stories from his premiership. Here’s mine. What’s…

4 min readSep 4, 2022

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How to Kill with a Handshake: My Favorite Boris Johnson Story

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Bent Flyvbjerg
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Geek Culture

SpaceX vs. NASA: Project Delivery

Elon Musk decided long ago that he cannot afford long projects and therefore also cannot afford to use conventional design and delivery…

3 min readAug 1, 2022

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SpaceX vs. NASA: Project Delivery

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Bent Flyvbjerg
in
Geek Culture

SpaceX vs. NASA: Scalability

SpaceX is fast, cheap, and scalable. NASA is slow, expensive, and bespoke.

4 min readJul 29, 2022

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SpaceX vs. NASA: Scalability

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Bent Flyvbjerg
in
Geek Culture

Forced and Fumbled Scale-Up

Dumb scale-up is bad. Forced scale-up is worse because it wastes resources faster. Fumble scale-up, and you die.

6 min readJul 26, 2022

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Forced and Fumbled Scale-Up

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Bent Flyvbjerg
in
Geek Culture

SpaceX vs. NASA: Cost

SpaceX is 10X cheaper with 30X lower cost overrun than NASA in lifting payload into space. Why? Because SpaceX is platform-based, NASA not.

5 min readJun 13, 2022

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SpaceX vs. NASA: Cost

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Bent Flyvbjerg
in
Geek Culture

Platform Economics

Platforms make services faster, better, cheaper, and more omnipresent. Platforms are based on modularity and are the antithesis to big…

7 min readJun 11, 2022

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Platform Economics

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Bent Flyvbjerg

Theories of Big

How does one best deliver big, ambitious projects in business and government?

5 min readJun 9, 2022

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Theories of Big

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Bent Flyvbjerg
in
Geek Culture

Dumb Scale-Up = Bespoke + Slow

Dumb scale-up is one-off, bespoke, and slow. It correlates with delays, cost overruns, and benefit shortfalls. Any business, government, or…

7 min readMay 16, 2022

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Dumb Scale-Up = Bespoke + Slow

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Bent Flyvbjerg

Bent Flyvbjerg

Book Author

Professor Emeritus, University of Oxford; Professor, IT University of Copenhagen. Writes about project management. https://www.linkedin.com/in/flyvbjerg/

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